Plinko Probability

Plinko Probability Screenshot
  • Probability
  • Histograms
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Topics

  • Probability
  • Histograms

Description

Drop balls through a triangular grid of pegs and see them accumulate in containers. Switch to a histogram view and compare the distribution of balls to an ideal binomial distribution. Adjust the binary probability and develop your knowledge of statistics!

Sample Learning Goals

  • Predict the bin where a single ball might fall
  • Repeat trials of 100 balls and compare the outcomes
  • Count the number of balls in a bin and relate that to the probability of falling in that bin
  • Compare and interpret empirical and theoretical statistics
  • Apply the plinko simulation as a model to other scenarios where there are weighted statistics

Standards Alignment

Common Core - Math

7.SP.C.5
Understand that the probability of a chance event is a number between 0 and 1 that expresses the likelihood of the event occurring. Larger numbers indicate greater likelihood. A probability near 0 indicates an unlikely event, a probability around 1/2 indicates an event that is neither unlikely nor likely, and a probability near 1 indicates a likely event.
7.SP.C.6
Approximate the probability of a chance event by collecting data on the chance process that produces it and observing its long-run relative frequency, and predict the approximate relative frequency given the probability. For example, when rolling a number cube 600 times, predict that a 3 or 6 would be rolled roughly 200 times, but probably not exactly 200 times.
HSS-IC.A.2
Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given data-generating process, e.g., using simulation. For example, a model says a spinning coin falls heads up with probability 0.5. Would a result of 5 tails in a row cause you to question the model?
HSS-ID.A.1
Represent data with plots on the real number line (dot plots, histograms, and box plots).
HSS-ID.A.2
Use statistics appropriate to the shape of the data distribution to compare center (median, mean) and spread (interquartile range, standard deviation) of two or more different data sets.
Version 2.02

Teacher-Submitted Activities

Probability Plinko A gold star indicates high-quality, inquiry-based activities that follow the PhET design guidelines. beki toussaint HS Lab Mathematics
How do PhET simulations fit in my middle school program? This contribution was designed by PhET. Sarah Borenstein MS Other Chemistry
Physics
Biology
Earth Science
MS and HS TEK to Sim Alignment Elyse Zimmer HS
MS
Other Physics
Chemistry
Biology
플린코 확률 SIM 사용설명서 이화국(Wha Kuk Lee) HS
MS
Demo
Lab
CQs

Language Download or Run Tips
Amharic All Amharic Run now የፒንኮ ይሆንታ(pinko probability)
Basque All Euskara Run now Plinko probabilitatea
Bosnian All Bosanski Run now RASPODJELA VJEROVATNOĆE
Chinese (Simplified) All 中文 (中国) Run now 二项分布弹珠台机率
Chinese (Traditional) All 中文 (台灣) Run now 二項分佈彈珠台機率
Croatian All hrvatski Run now Pascalov trokut
Danish All Dansk Run now Plinko sandsynlighed
Dutch All Nederlands Run now Knikkerspel en waarschijnlijkheidsverdeling
Estonian All Eesti Run now Plinko tõenäosus
French All français Run now Probablilté sur planche à clous
German All Deutsch Run now Binomialverteilung am Plinkobrett
Greek All Ελληνικά Run now Πιθανότητα Plinko
Hebrew All עברית Run now ההתפלגות סטנדרטית
Hungarian All magyar Run now Galton-deszka
Italian All italiano Run now Il gioco di Plinko: probabilità
Japanese All 日本語 Run now パチンコ玉の落下分布
Kazakh All Kazakh Run now Пинконын Мүмкіндік
Korean All 한국어 Run now 플린코 확률
Latvian All Latviešu Run now Plinko varbūtība
Macedonian All македонски Run now Распределба на веројатност
Persian All فارسی Run now احتمال بازش پلینکو
Polish All polski Run now Deska Galtona -prawdopodobieństwo
Portuguese (Brazil) All português (Brasil) Run now Probabilidade Plinko
Serbian All Српски Run now РАСПОДЕЛА ВЕРОВАТНОЋЕ
Slovak All Slovenčina Run now Pravdepodobnosť
Spanish All español Run now Plinko-Probabilidad
Spanish (Mexico) All español (México) Run now Probabilidad Plinko
Spanish (Peru) All español (Perú) Run now Probabilidad Plinko
Swedish All svenska Run now Plinko sannolikhet
Turkish All Türkçe Run now Olasılık Hesabı Oyunu
Turkmen All Turkmen Run now Ähtimallyk Plinko
Vietnamese All Tiếng Việt Run now Xác suất Plinko

Windows Macintosh Linux
Microsoft Windows
XP/Vista/7/8.1/10
Macromedia Flash 9 or later
OS X 10.9.5 or later
Macromedia Flash 9 or later
Macromedia Flash 9 or later

Design Team Third-party Libraries Thanks To
  • Michael Dubson (developer/lead)